Probabilités, démographie et sciences sociales

This paper considers the different approaches to probability, that has been developed from the XVIIth century, compared to the simultaneous development of social sciences. If the frequency-type approach, for which the probability is the mathematical limit to which the relative frequency of an outcom...

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Pubblicato in:URI:https://journals.openedition.org/msh,
Autore principale: Courgeau, Daniel
Natura: Article ou chapitre numérique
Lingua:Français
Pubblicazione: Mathématiques et sciences humaines 2006
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Accesso online:Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
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Riassunto:This paper considers the different approaches to probability, that has been developed from the XVIIth century, compared to the simultaneous development of social sciences. If the frequency-type approach, for which the probability is the mathematical limit to which the relative frequency of an outcome converges, the epistemological approach, for which the probability concerns the available evidence it is reasonable to have a degree of belief in the truth of a given proposition, seems to be more suitable for social sciences. A presentation and a discussion of these two approaches are made here, with numerous examples of application to social sciences.