Ni résister ni obéir
The 2022 French presidential election unfolded during a phase of political realignment marked by the emergence of a relatively balanced tripolar competition among left-wing, center-right, and far-right parties. To analyze the underlying social and electoral cleavages, we conducted a large-scale, pre...
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| Formatua: | Article ou chapitre numérique |
| Hizkuntza: | Français |
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2025
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| Sarrera elektronikoa: | Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM |
| Gaia: | The 2022 French presidential election unfolded during a phase of political realignment marked by the emergence of a relatively balanced tripolar competition among left-wing, center-right, and far-right parties. To analyze the underlying social and electoral cleavages, we conducted a large-scale, precinct-level quantitative study of socio-demographic variables. While our findings broadly support neo-cleavage theories, they also underscore the enduring explanatory power of socio-economic predictors in shaping electoral behavior. We identify three main cleavage dimensions—socio-economic, educational, and migratory—that produce a system of cross-cutting cleavages among the four main electoral choices: Mélenchon, Macron, Le Pen, and abstention. |
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