A Tale of Three Cleavages
The 2022 French presidential election unfolded during a phase of political realignment marked by the emergence of a relatively balanced tripolar competition among left-wing, center-right, and far-right parties. To analyze the underlying social and electoral cleavages, we conducted a large-scale, pre...
Bewaard in:
| Hoofdauteurs: | , |
|---|---|
| Formaat: | Article ou chapitre numérique |
| Taal: | Français |
| Gepubliceerd in: |
2025
|
| Onderwerpen: | |
| Online toegang: | Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM |
| Samenvatting: | The 2022 French presidential election unfolded during a phase of political realignment marked by the emergence of a relatively balanced tripolar competition among left-wing, center-right, and far-right parties. To analyze the underlying social and electoral cleavages, we conducted a large-scale, precinct-level quantitative study of socio-demographic variables. While our findings broadly support neo-cleavage theories, they also underscore the enduring explanatory power of socio-economic predictors in shaping electoral behavior. We identify three main cleavage dimensions—socio-economic, educational, and migratory—that produce a system of cross-cutting cleavages among the four main electoral choices: Mélenchon, Macron, Le Pen, and abstention. |
|---|