Distance à la ville et (dé)croissance démographique des espaces ruraux français (1990-2015)

France's overall demographic growth is positive, driven by natural and migratory balances. However, this growth is not evenly distributed throughout the country. There are many areas in decline, with global and local spatial patterns that need to be examined. Numerous studies have highlighted u...

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Autors principals: Ndour, Dieynaba, Oliveau, Sébastien, Doignon, Yoann
Format: Article ou chapitre numérique
Idioma:Français
Publicat: 2024
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Accés en línia:Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
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Sumari:France's overall demographic growth is positive, driven by natural and migratory balances. However, this growth is not evenly distributed throughout the country. There are many areas in decline, with global and local spatial patterns that need to be examined. Numerous studies have highlighted urban decline, while others have considered the regional dimension, but little attention has been paid to the persistent decline of some rural areas over several decades. The aim of this article is to examine all French rural municipality in order to highlight the spatial dynamics at work. Our hypothesis is that urban areas have an influence on the dynamics of the surrounding countryside, and that this influence is all the stronger the larger the cities’ population. To model this relationship, we rely on a diachronic analysis of French census data at the "commune" level over the last 25 years, with particular attention to the 2010s. The results confirm and qualify our hypotheses. On the one hand, it highlights the great diversity of regional situations and, on the other, it confirms the structuring role of cities. The results show that the influence of cities on rural communities is not linear and even disappears after a certain distance. We also show that cities do not have the same influence on their hinterland depending on their demographic weight. Finally, we show that this relationship remains stable over time, leading to an increase in spatial inequalities in population distribution. In addition to confirming the structuring role of cities, this article reminds us that we need to think about refining these models in the future.