Michel Bruneau De l’Asie Mineure à la Turquie. Minorités, homogénéisation ethno-nationale, diasporas. Paris, CNRS éditions, 2015, 412 p.
This article explores the evolution in the relationship between the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and Hezbollah in Lebanon, which can be qualified as a duopoly in the use of legitimate physical violence. Building on an explanation of Hezbollah’s path to political and military power, the second sect...
Enregistré dans:
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| Format: | Article ou chapitre numérique |
| Langue: | Français |
| Publié: |
2016
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| Accès en ligne: | Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM |
| Résumé: | This article explores the evolution in the relationship
between the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and Hezbollah
in Lebanon, which can be qualified as a duopoly in the
use of legitimate physical violence.
Building on an explanation of Hezbollah’s path to
political and military power, the second section of this
article will provide an insight into the current nature of its
relationship to the LAF, and the power-sharing between
the two of them. In a third section, this article questions
the future of this security duopoly in the context of the
increasing military threat posed by radical elements
from Syria at the border. In order to do so, the article
elaborates and assesses two overarching scenarios in which
each actor empowers the other, and five sub-scenarios
to describe the different expectable modi operandi. The
security duopoly is further analysed by introducing the
regional stakes and influences on the LAF and Hezbollah.
The conclusion of those 5 sub-scenarios’ assessment is that
the current equilibrium of the relationship between the
LAF and Hezbollah is not likely to change radically since
every sub-scenario has flaws impacting its credibility, and
hence its potential for becoming true.
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