Statistical Demography and Forecasting

Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy...

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Auteurs principaux: Alho, Juha M., Spencer, Bruce D., 1979- (Auteur)
פורמט: Livre numérique
שפה:Anglais
יצא לאור: New York, NY : Springer New York [20..].
Cham : Springer Nature
מהדורה:1st ed. 2005.
סדרה:Springer Series in Statistics
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הערה: Archives Springer e-books (Licence nationale)
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Edition sous un autre format:• Statistical demography and forecasting, Juha M. Alho and Bruce D. Spencer, New York, Springer, 2005, 1 vol. (XXVII-410 p.), Springer series in statistics, 0-387-22538-2
• Statistical demography and forecasting, Juha M. Alho and Bruce D. Spencer, New York, Springer, 2005, 1 vol. (XXVII-410 p.), Springer series in statistics, 0-387-22538-2
• Statistical Demography and Forecasting, Texte imprimé, 9780387503387
תיאור
סיכום:Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy of population estimates directly affects both the distributions of formula-based government allocations to sub-national units and the apportionment of political representation. The book develops the statistical foundation for addressing such issues. Areas covered include classical mathematical demography, event history methods, multi-state methods, stochastic population forecasting, sampling and census coverage, and decision theory. The methods are illustrated with empirical applications from Europe and the U.S. For statisticians the book provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language. For demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, and professionals in related fields, the book presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments. To facilitate its classroom use, exercises are included. Over half of the book is readily accessible to undergraduates, but more maturity may be required to benefit fully from the complete text. Knowledge of differential and integral calculus, matrix algebra, basic probability theory, and regression analysis is assumed. Juha M. Alho is Professor of Statistics, University of Joensuu, Finland, and Bruce D. Spencer is Professor of Statistics and Faculty Fellow at the Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University. Both have contributed extensively to statistical demography and served in advisory roles and as statistical consultants in the field
תאור פריט:Archives Springer e-books (Licence nationale)
Archives Springer e-books (Licence nationale)
ISBN:9780387283920
ISSN:2197-568X
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