Country size, economic performance and volatility

What are the relationships between country size, economic growth and business cycle volatility? To investigate this question, we developed an original country-size index with principal component analysis. Traditional analysis usually equates country size with population. Our methodology enables to s...

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主要な著者: Alouini, Olfa, Hubert, Paul
フォーマット: Article ou chapitre numérique
言語:Français
出版事項: 2020
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オンライン・アクセス:Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
id cairn-REOF_164_0139
record_format cairn
spelling cairn-REOF_164_0139REOFRevue de l'OFCE https://shs.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce-2019-4-page-139?lang=en https://doi.org/10.3917/e.reof.164.0139 Country size, economic performance and volatility Alouini, OlfaHubert, Paul2020 business cycle volatilityGDP growthPCAfre Revue de l'OFCE | 164 | 4 | 2020-02-14 | p. 139-163 | 1265-9576 REOF_16421 What are the relationships between country size, economic growth and business cycle volatility? To investigate this question, we developed an original country-size index with principal component analysis. Traditional analysis usually equates country size with population. Our methodology enables to simultaneously consider several factors constitutive of country size: population, GDP and arable land. These additional variables allow us to capture different components of the country size and to control for more than a demographic effect. Using a panel data set of 163 countries for 1960–2007, we find, contrary to Rose (2006), that country size has a significant and negative correlation with economic performance. Our results for output volatility extend the negative and significant relationship found by Furceri and Karras (2007). In addition, we present differentiated results for small and large countries, OECD members, eurozone countries and the so-called BRIC countries. JEL Codes: E42; F36; F42.Cairn free access
language Français
format Article ou chapitre numérique
building 0/Bibliothèque numérique/
1/Bibliothèque numérique/Cairn/
topic business cycle volatility
GDP growth
PCA
spellingShingle business cycle volatility
GDP growth
PCA
Alouini, Olfa
Hubert, Paul
Country size, economic performance and volatility
topic_facet business cycle volatility
GDP growth
PCA
description What are the relationships between country size, economic growth and business cycle volatility? To investigate this question, we developed an original country-size index with principal component analysis. Traditional analysis usually equates country size with population. Our methodology enables to simultaneously consider several factors constitutive of country size: population, GDP and arable land. These additional variables allow us to capture different components of the country size and to control for more than a demographic effect. Using a panel data set of 163 countries for 1960–2007, we find, contrary to Rose (2006), that country size has a significant and negative correlation with economic performance. Our results for output volatility extend the negative and significant relationship found by Furceri and Karras (2007). In addition, we present differentiated results for small and large countries, OECD members, eurozone countries and the so-called BRIC countries. JEL Codes: E42; F36; F42.
author Alouini, Olfa
Hubert, Paul
author_facet Alouini, Olfa
Hubert, Paul
author_sort Alouini, Olfa
title Country size, economic performance and volatility
title_short Country size, economic performance and volatility
title_full Country size, economic performance and volatility
title_fullStr Country size, economic performance and volatility
title_full_unstemmed Country size, economic performance and volatility
title_sort country size, economic performance and volatility
publishDate 2020
container_title
container_issue
url https://ezproxy.univ-orleans.fr/login?url=https://shs.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce-2019-4-page-139?lang=en
https://ezproxy.univ-orleans.fr/login?url=https://doi.org/10.3917/e.reof.164.0139
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