Modéliser la guerre pour trouver des facteurs de paix ?

Recent developments in geopolitics and conflicts have transformed the modes of warfare and the resolution of international crises. In this new context, it is more important than ever to understand the causes of shifts in the equilibrium between nations, oscillating between competition, contestation...

Mô tả đầy đủ

Đã lưu trong:
Chi tiết về thư mục
Tác giả chính: Namor, Anthony
Định dạng: Article ou chapitre numérique
Ngôn ngữ:Français
Được phát hành: 2025
Những chủ đề:
Truy cập trực tuyến:Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM
Miêu tả
Tóm tắt:Recent developments in geopolitics and conflicts have transformed the modes of warfare and the resolution of international crises. In this new context, it is more important than ever to understand the causes of shifts in the equilibrium between nations, oscillating between competition, contestation and confrontation. To achieve this, we propose to model these ruptures using game theory. We show that moving to confrontation and persisting in costly combats can be rational tendencies. We draw lessons for strategy, diplomacy, the determination of war aims and the duration of confrontations.