Modéliser la guerre pour trouver des facteurs de paix ?
Recent developments in geopolitics and conflicts have transformed the modes of warfare and the resolution of international crises. In this new context, it is more important than ever to understand the causes of shifts in the equilibrium between nations, oscillating between competition, contestation...
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| Format: | Article ou chapitre numérique |
| Sprog: | Français |
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2025
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| Online adgang: | Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM Accès Université d'Orléans et IFPM |
| Summary: | Recent developments in geopolitics and conflicts have transformed the modes of warfare and the resolution of international crises. In this new context, it is more important than ever to understand the causes of shifts in the equilibrium between nations, oscillating between competition, contestation and confrontation. To achieve this, we propose to model these ruptures using game theory. We show that moving to confrontation and persisting in costly combats can be rational tendencies. We draw lessons for strategy, diplomacy, the determination of war aims and the duration of confrontations. |
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